What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12119911202 in The Villages?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $442,819 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12119911202 in The Villages?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $442,819 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

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Parcel 12119911202 (The Villages) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12119911202, The Villages Home Price Forecast

Sumter, FL · ZIP 32162 · Census Tract 12119911202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$443K

Downside (P10)

$353K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$456K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$614K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$302K	$315K	$344K	$394K	$435K	$443K	$462K	$475K	$456K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$140,619	-$127,619	-$98,419	-$48,619	-$7,519		+$19,149	+$32,212	+$13,569
Growth % vs 2026	-31.8%	-28.8%	-22.2%	-11.0%	-1.7%		+4.3%	+7.3%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$393K	$356K	$353K
Upside (P90)							$558K	$579K	$614K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$393K to $558K

35.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$353K to $614K

57.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 57%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12119911202, The Villages on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).