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St. Lucie, FL · ZIP 34986 · Census Tract 12111382121 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$434K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$568K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $275K | $289K | $392K | $382K | $388K | $416K | $426K | $436K | $434K |
| YoY Change | +5.0% | +35.8% | -2.7% | +1.7% | +7.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $347K | $332K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $487K | $524K | $568K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$364K to $487K
28.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $568K
54.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie | $398K | $434K | +9.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382128) | $409K | $467K | +14.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381506) | $422K | $477K | +12.9% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382114) | $422K | $471K | +11.8% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382118) | $424K | $461K | +8.6% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382116) | $407K | $430K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie | $398K | $434K | +9.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380700) | $321K | $374K | +16.5% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 381000) | $216K | $249K | +15.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382128) | $409K | $467K | +14.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382008) | $325K | $370K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie | $398K | $434K | $236K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381603) | $184K | $195K | $92K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380902) | $190K | $211K | $89K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380300) | $152K | $161K | $84K | |
| West St. Lucie | $178K | $193K | $83K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382010) | $99K | $106K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.