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St. Lucie, FL · ZIP 34986 · Census Tract 12111382123 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$452K
Downside (P10)
$396K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$478K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$678K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $280K | $363K | $401K | $445K | $452K | $459K | $467K | $478K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,511 | -$171,811 | -$88,511 | -$50,111 | -$6,311 | +$7,228 | +$15,038 | +$26,682 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -38.1% | -19.6% | -11.1% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $395K | $396K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $574K | $591K | $678K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$401K to $574K
37.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$396K to $678K
59.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382120) | $450K | $504K | +11.8% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382127) | $456K | $496K | +8.7% | |
| Hutchinson Island | $449K | $474K | +5.4% | |
| West St. Lucie | $454K | $474K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380700) | $321K | $374K | +16.5% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 381000) | $216K | $249K | +15.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382128) | $409K | $467K | +14.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382008) | $325K | $370K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | $282K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381603) | $184K | $195K | $92K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380902) | $190K | $211K | $89K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380300) | $152K | $161K | $84K | |
| West St. Lucie | $178K | $193K | $83K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382010) | $99K | $106K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Lucie, FL · ZIP 34986 · Census Tract 12111382123 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$452K
Downside (P10)
$396K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$478K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$678K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $280K | $363K | $401K | $445K | $452K | $459K | $467K | $478K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$169,511 | -$171,811 | -$88,511 | -$50,111 | -$6,311 | +$7,228 | +$15,038 | +$26,682 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -38.1% | -19.6% | -11.1% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $401K | $395K | $396K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $574K | $591K | $678K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$401K to $574K
37.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$396K to $678K
59.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382120) | $450K | $504K | +11.8% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382127) | $456K | $496K | +8.7% | |
| Hutchinson Island | $449K | $474K | +5.4% | |
| West St. Lucie | $454K | $474K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | +6.7% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382126) | $459K | $541K | +17.7% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380700) | $321K | $374K | +16.5% | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 381000) | $216K | $249K | +15.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382128) | $409K | $467K | +14.2% | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382008) | $325K | $370K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port St. Lucie · Port Saint Lucie · (Tract 3821.23) | $448K | $478K | $282K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 381603) | $184K | $195K | $92K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380902) | $190K | $211K | $89K | |
| Fort Pierce (Tract 380300) | $152K | $161K | $84K | |
| West St. Lucie | $178K | $193K | $83K | |
| Port St. Lucie (Tract 382010) | $99K | $106K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
