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St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32092 · Census Tract 12109021004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$496K
Downside (P10)
$358K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$551K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$757K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $162K | $164K | $169K | $171K | $232K | $242K | $327K | $419K | $477K | $496K | $496K | $520K | $551K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$373,846 | -$334,446 | -$332,746 | -$327,746 | -$325,546 | -$264,046 | -$254,746 | -$169,346 | -$77,346 | -$19,146 | -$790 | +$23,192 | +$54,638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -75.3% | -67.4% | -67.0% | -66.0% | -65.6% | -53.2% | -51.3% | -34.1% | -15.6% | -3.9% | -0.2% | +4.7% | +11.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $393K | $362K | $358K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $620K | $687K | $757K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$393K to $620K
45.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$358K to $757K
72.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | +13.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021403) | $503K | $548K | +8.8% | |
| Fruit Cove | $488K | $527K | +8.1% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020908) | $505K | $540K | +7.1% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021408) | $484K | $516K | +6.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021404) | $498K | $530K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | +13.6% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | $399K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32092 · Census Tract 12109021004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$496K
Downside (P10)
$358K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$551K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$757K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $123K | $162K | $164K | $169K | $171K | $232K | $242K | $327K | $419K | $477K | $496K | $496K | $520K | $551K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$373,846 | -$334,446 | -$332,746 | -$327,746 | -$325,546 | -$264,046 | -$254,746 | -$169,346 | -$77,346 | -$19,146 | -$790 | +$23,192 | +$54,638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -75.3% | -67.4% | -67.0% | -66.0% | -65.6% | -53.2% | -51.3% | -34.1% | -15.6% | -3.9% | -0.2% | +4.7% | +11.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $393K | $362K | $358K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $620K | $687K | $757K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$393K to $620K
45.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$358K to $757K
72.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | +13.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021403) | $503K | $548K | +8.8% | |
| Fruit Cove | $488K | $527K | +8.1% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020908) | $505K | $540K | +7.1% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021408) | $484K | $516K | +6.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021404) | $498K | $530K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | +13.6% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Augustine · Saint Augustine · (Tract 210.4) | $485K | $551K | $399K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
