St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32082 · Census Tract 12109020710 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.07M
Downside (P10)
$1.67M
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.21M
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.08M
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +49%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar St. Johns markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $984K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.7M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | +7.3% | +0.5% | -1.9% | +10.6% | +3.3% | +42.2% | +14.0% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +0.9% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.8M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.72M to $2.58M
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.67M to $3.08M
63.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Vedra · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.10) | $2.03M | $2.21M | +8.9% | |
| Ponte Vedra | $1.20M | $1.34M | +11.9% | |
| Palm Valley | $909K | $940K | +3.4% | |
| Ponte Vedra | $904K | $881K | -2.5% | |
| Palm Valley | $897K | $993K | +10.7% | |
| St. Augustine | $840K | $894K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Vedra · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.10) | $2.03M | $2.21M | +8.9% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Vedra · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.10) | $2.03M | $2.21M | $1.41M | |
| St. Augustine | $220K | $228K | $103K | |
| St. Augustine | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| Hastings | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings | $338K | $359K | $166K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.