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St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32082 · Census Tract 12109020706 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$911K
Downside (P10)
$788K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$993K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $461K | $488K | $500K | $523K | $549K | $577K | $619K | $682K | $779K | $888K | $911K | $944K | $956K | $993K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | +2.5% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +7.3% | +10.1% | +14.2% | +14.1% | +2.5% | +3.7% | +1.3% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $829K | $812K | $788K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$829K to $1.15M
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$788K to $1.42M
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Valley · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.6) | $897K | $993K | +10.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020604) | $840K | $894K | +6.5% | |
| Fruit Cove | $671K | $697K | +3.8% | |
| Palm Valley | $909K | $940K | +3.4% | |
| Ponte Vedra | $904K | $881K | -2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Valley · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.6) | $897K | $993K | +10.7% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Valley · Ponte Vedra Beach · (Tract 207.6) | $897K | $993K | $633K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.