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St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32081 · Census Tract 12109020605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$637K
Downside (P10)
$561K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$710K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$907K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $399K | $423K | $488K | $563K | $623K | $637K | $679K | $716K | $710K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$237,815 | -$213,815 | -$149,615 | -$74,015 | -$14,215 | +$41,292 | +$78,849 | +$73,009 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.3% | -33.6% | -23.5% | -11.6% | -2.2% | +6.5% | +12.4% | +11.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $542K | $554K | $561K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $814K | $855K | $907K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$542K to $814K
40.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$561K to $907K
48.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | +13.7% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020603) | $660K | $743K | +12.5% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021409) | $636K | $709K | +11.4% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020400) | $598K | $627K | +4.9% | |
| Fruit Cove | $671K | $697K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | +13.7% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | $346K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Johns, FL · ZIP 32081 · Census Tract 12109020605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$637K
Downside (P10)
$561K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$710K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$907K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $399K | $423K | $488K | $563K | $623K | $637K | $679K | $716K | $710K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$237,815 | -$213,815 | -$149,615 | -$74,015 | -$14,215 | +$41,292 | +$78,849 | +$73,009 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.3% | -33.6% | -23.5% | -11.6% | -2.2% | +6.5% | +12.4% | +11.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $542K | $554K | $561K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $814K | $855K | $907K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$542K to $814K
40.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$561K to $907K
48.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | +13.7% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020603) | $660K | $743K | +12.5% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021409) | $636K | $709K | +11.4% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020400) | $598K | $627K | +4.9% | |
| Fruit Cove | $671K | $697K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | +13.7% | |
| Matanzas | $621K | $735K | +18.3% | |
| Palm Valley | $557K | $655K | +17.6% | |
| Fruit Cove | $586K | $683K | +16.7% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020606) | $546K | $637K | +16.6% | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021410) | $754K | $878K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocatee | $625K | $710K | $346K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021102) | $338K | $359K | $166K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 020300) | $295K | $319K | $164K | |
| Hastings (Tract 021101) | $243K | $277K | $144K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021002) | $232K | $251K | $142K | |
| St. Augustine (Tract 021003) | $220K | $228K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
