What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12115002745 in North Port?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,126 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12115002745 in North Port?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,126 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

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Parcel 12115002745 (North Port) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12115002745, North Port Home Price Forecast

Sarasota, FL · ZIP 34286 · Census Tract 12115002745 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$378K

Downside (P10)

$301K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$392K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$511K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$205K	$215K	$271K	$296K	$372K	$378K	$382K	$394K	$392K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$173,326	-$163,226	-$107,626	-$82,326	-$6,026		+$3,384	+$16,111	+$13,720
Growth % vs 2026	-45.8%	-43.2%	-28.5%	-21.8%	-1.6%		+0.9%	+4.3%	+3.6%
Downside (P10)							$329K	$320K	$301K
Upside (P90)							$474K	$498K	$511K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$329K to $474K

38.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$301K to $511K

53.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.6% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12115002745, North Port on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).