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Santa Rosa, FL · ZIP 32583 · Census Tract 12113010808 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$174K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$280K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $115K | $116K | $109K | $114K | $115K | $115K | $115K | $152K | $164K | $195K | $201K | $203K | $211K | $215K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | -6.3% | +5.4% | +0.7% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +32.5% | +7.9% | +19.3% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $183K | $174K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $236K | $267K | $280K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$180K to $236K
27.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$174K to $280K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold area | $203K | $215K | +5.7% | |
| Skyline | $219K | $268K | +22.3% | |
| Pace | $188K | $215K | +14.8% | |
| Milton (Tract 010601) | $184K | $208K | +13.1% | |
| Milton (Tract 010602) | $207K | $218K | +5.7% | |
| Munson | $184K | $188K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold area | $203K | $215K | +5.7% | |
| Skyline | $219K | $268K | +22.3% | |
| Pace (Tract 010705) | $188K | $215K | +14.8% | |
| Pace (Tract 010708) | $234K | $266K | +13.9% | |
| Milton | $184K | $208K | +13.1% | |
| East Milton | $226K | $255K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold area | $203K | $215K | $106K | |
| Pace | $188K | $215K | $137K | |
| Milton (Tract 010602) | $207K | $218K | $119K | |
| Allentown | $243K | $264K | $111K | |
| Milton (Tract 010601) | $184K | $208K | $100K | |
| Munson | $184K | $188K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.