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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 34698 · Census Tract 12103026914 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$302K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$473K
+57% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $176K | $240K | $279K | $296K | $302K | $301K | $308K | $299K |
| YoY Change | +22.6% | +36.1% | +16.3% | +6.1% | +1.8% | -0.3% | +2.3% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $256K | $256K | $254K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $427K | $473K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$256K to $388K
43.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$254K to $473K
73.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunedin | $301K | $299K | -0.5% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 020110) | $301K | $345K | +14.7% | |
| Boca Ciega | $301K | $319K | +6.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022200) | $301K | $307K | +1.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024805) | $301K | $304K | +1.0% | |
| Palm Harbor | $301K | $301K | -0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunedin | $301K | $299K | -0.5% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunedin | $301K | $299K | $219K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.