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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33778 · Census Tract 12103025116 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$278K
Downside (P10)
$246K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$287K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$416K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $118K | $125K | $154K | $162K | $174K | $191K | $232K | $247K | $268K | $278K | $275K | $285K | $287K |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | +5.5% | +23.0% | +5.7% | +7.3% | +9.5% | +21.4% | +6.9% | +8.4% | +3.8% | -1.0% | +3.4% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $242K | $247K | $246K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $362K | $367K | $416K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$242K to $362K
43.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$246K to $416K
59.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Ciega | $274K | $287K | +5.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 020301) | $279K | $308K | +10.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023000) | $278K | $302K | +8.5% | |
| Tarpon Springs | $280K | $304K | +8.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024201) | $276K | $289K | +5.0% | |
| Clearwater | $279K | $290K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Ciega | $274K | $287K | +5.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| Belleair Beach | $1.08M | $1.27M | +18.0% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Ciega | $274K | $287K | $170K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 025305) | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| Clearwater (Tract 026819) | $60K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.