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Pinellas, FL · ZIP 34689 · Census Tract 12103027308 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$388K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$398K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$561K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $187K | $194K | $198K | $206K | $232K | $239K | $240K | $278K | $307K | $365K | $388K | $396K | $405K | $398K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +2.5% | +4.0% | +12.5% | +2.8% | +0.4% | +16.0% | +10.4% | +19.0% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +2.2% | -1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $322K | $304K | $312K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $480K | $536K | $561K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$322K to $480K
39.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$312K to $561K
62.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg (Tract 020202) | $386K | $434K | +12.6% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 020207) | $391K | $432K | +10.4% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024412) | $377K | $413K | +9.5% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022503) | $391K | $427K | +9.2% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022302) | $383K | $386K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024509) | $424K | $487K | +14.9% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023501) | $604K | $694K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clearwater | $248K | $256K | $120K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024413) | $213K | $213K | $117K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022902) | $175K | $183K | $98K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024406) | $156K | $174K | $90K | |
| Pinellas Park | $97K | $101K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.