What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12103027212 in Tarpon Springs · Palm Harbor · (Tract 272.12)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $335,731 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12103027212 in Tarpon Springs · Palm Harbor · (Tract 272.12)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $335,731 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.4%.

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Parcel 12103027212 (Tarpon Springs) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12103027212, Tarpon Springs · Palm Harbor · (Tract 272.12) Home Price Forecast

Pinellas, FL · ZIP 34683 · Census Tract 12103027212 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$336K

Downside (P10)

$286K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$378K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$501K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$163K	$163K	$247K	$259K	$333K	$336K	$336K	$343K	$378K	$347K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$172,431	-$173,231	-$89,231	-$76,331	-$3,031		+$764	+$7,203	+$41,778	+$11,473
Growth % vs 2026	-51.4%	-51.6%	-26.6%	-22.7%	-0.9%		+0.2%	+2.1%	+12.4%	+3.4%
Downside (P10)							$289K	$299K	$286K	$307K
Upside (P90)							$414K	$464K	$501K	$397K

Forecast Confidence

86%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$289K to $414K

37.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$307K to $397K

25.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.4% · Spread: 26%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12103027212, Tarpon Springs · Palm Harbor · (Tract 272.12) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).