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Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33782 · Census Tract 12103024905 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$326K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$364K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$499K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $110K | $123K | $128K | $141K | $159K | $163K | $198K | $254K | $312K | $326K | $334K | $352K | $364K | $323K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$222,676 | -$216,176 | -$203,776 | -$198,876 | -$185,576 | -$167,276 | -$163,076 | -$128,476 | -$72,876 | -$14,776 | +$8,121 | +$25,310 | +$37,721 | -$3,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -68.2% | -66.2% | -62.4% | -60.9% | -56.9% | -51.3% | -50.0% | -39.4% | -22.3% | -4.5% | +2.5% | +7.8% | +11.6% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $290K | $281K | $281K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $408K | $450K | $499K | $369K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$290K to $408K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $369K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | +12.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024301) | $323K | $370K | +14.4% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022601) | $326K | $367K | +12.7% | |
| Boca Ciega | $323K | $359K | +11.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024804) | $324K | $355K | +9.5% | |
| Bardmoor | $324K | $327K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | +12.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| Boca Ciega | $473K | $547K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | $217K | |
| Pinellas Park | $97K | $101K | $60K | |
| Lealman | $67K | $71K | $50K | |
| Clearwater | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pinellas, FL · ZIP 33782 · Census Tract 12103024905 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$326K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$364K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$499K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $110K | $123K | $128K | $141K | $159K | $163K | $198K | $254K | $312K | $326K | $334K | $352K | $364K | $323K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$222,676 | -$216,176 | -$203,776 | -$198,876 | -$185,576 | -$167,276 | -$163,076 | -$128,476 | -$72,876 | -$14,776 | +$8,121 | +$25,310 | +$37,721 | -$3,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -68.2% | -66.2% | -62.4% | -60.9% | -56.9% | -51.3% | -50.0% | -39.4% | -22.3% | -4.5% | +2.5% | +7.8% | +11.6% | -1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $290K | $281K | $281K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $408K | $450K | $499K | $369K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$290K to $408K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $369K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | +12.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024301) | $323K | $370K | +14.4% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 022601) | $326K | $367K | +12.7% | |
| Boca Ciega | $323K | $359K | +11.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024804) | $324K | $355K | +9.5% | |
| Bardmoor | $324K | $327K | +1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | +12.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024409) | $636K | $762K | +19.8% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023601) | $549K | $650K | +18.3% | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 023900) | $475K | $555K | +16.9% | |
| Clearwater | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| Boca Ciega | $473K | $547K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinellas Park · 33782 · (Tract 249.5) | $324K | $364K | $217K | |
| Pinellas Park | $97K | $101K | $60K | |
| Lealman | $67K | $71K | $50K | |
| Clearwater | $64K | $69K | $45K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 024519) | $59K | $64K | $31K | |
| St. Petersburg (Tract 025019) | $52K | $56K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
