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Palm Beach, FL · ZIP 33404 · Census Tract 12099001500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$250K
Downside (P10)
$192K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$363K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $99K | $95K | $97K | $99K | $103K | $153K | $163K | $214K | $226K | $243K | $250K | $257K | $273K | $271K |
| YoY Change | -3.7% | +2.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +47.6% | +6.9% | +31.0% | +5.6% | +7.6% | +3.1% | +2.6% | +6.2% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $215K | $207K | $192K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $303K | $346K | $363K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$215K to $303K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$192K to $363K
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riviera Beach | $245K | $271K | +10.6% | |
| Riviera Beach | $240K | $279K | +16.3% | |
| Delray Beach | $257K | $283K | +10.2% | |
| Lake Worth (Tract 004011) | $252K | $271K | +7.7% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $255K | $265K | +4.0% | |
| Lake Worth (Tract 004822) | $241K | $248K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riviera Beach | $245K | $271K | +10.6% | |
| West Palm Beach | $333K | $404K | +21.6% | |
| Lake Worth | $369K | $438K | +18.7% | |
| Palm Beach Gardens | $460K | $544K | +18.2% | |
| Riviera Beach | $887K | $1.05M | +18.2% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riviera Beach | $245K | $271K | $171K | |
| Belle Glade-Pahokee | $135K | $147K | $58K | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $101K | $104K | $56K | |
| West Palm Beach (Tract 001913) | $110K | $112K | $54K | |
| Riviera Beach | $111K | $119K | $51K | |
| West Palm Beach (Tract 001910) | $105K | $109K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.