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Palm Beach, FL · ZIP 33430 · Census Tract 12099008202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$218K
Downside (P10)
$166K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$327K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $103K | $108K | $104K | $98K | $89K | $71K | $69K | $206K | $218K | $224K | $229K | $234K | $213K |
| YoY Change | -5.7% | +5.4% | -3.9% | -5.7% | -9.4% | -19.8% | -3.4% | +198.5% | +5.9% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +2.0% | -8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $174K | $166K | $185K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $259K | $286K | $327K | $243K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$170K to $259K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$185K to $243K
27.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle Glade | $210K | $234K | +11.2% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach (Tract 005936) | $219K | $232K | +5.8% | |
| Boynton Beach | $220K | $231K | +5.0% | |
| Sunshine Parkway | $212K | $230K | +8.3% | |
| Lake Worth | $212K | $220K | +4.1% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach (Tract 006909) | $211K | $236K | +11.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle Glade | $210K | $234K | +11.2% | |
| West Palm Beach | $333K | $404K | +21.6% | |
| Lake Worth | $369K | $438K | +18.7% | |
| Palm Beach Gardens | $460K | $544K | +18.2% | |
| Riviera Beach | $887K | $1.05M | +18.2% | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle Glade | $210K | $234K | $161K | |
| West Palm Beach (Tract 001910) | $105K | $109K | $47K | |
| Riviera Beach | $111K | $119K | $51K | |
| West Palm Beach (Tract 001913) | $110K | $112K | $54K | |
| Boynton Beach-Delray Beach | $101K | $104K | $56K | |
| Belle Glade-Pahokee | $135K | $147K | $58K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.