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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34744 · Census Tract 12097042901 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$384K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$639K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $247K | $304K | $334K | $361K | $383K | $384K | $392K | $412K | $419K |
| YoY Change | +22.9% | +10.1% | +8.1% | +5.9% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $315K | $319K | $314K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $560K | $639K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$315K to $494K
45.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $639K
77.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $384K | $419K | +9.2% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043208) | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| South and East Osceola | $386K | $439K | +13.7% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042800) | $388K | $416K | +7.2% | |
| Kissimmee | $384K | $412K | +7.2% | |
| Buenaventura Lakes | $382K | $405K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $384K | $419K | +9.2% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud | $384K | $419K | $324K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.