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Osceola, FL · ZIP 34743 · Census Tract 12097042702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$319K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$462K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $89K | $119K | $130K | $162K | $209K | $197K | $257K | $276K | $305K | $306K | $321K | $330K | $319K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$221,686 | -$216,886 | -$186,886 | -$176,586 | -$144,486 | -$97,486 | -$108,686 | -$49,486 | -$30,186 | -$1,086 | +$15,308 | +$23,968 | +$13,090 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -72.4% | -70.9% | -61.1% | -57.7% | -47.2% | -31.8% | -35.5% | -16.2% | -9.9% | -0.4% | +5.0% | +7.8% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $255K | $249K | $244K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $383K | $432K | $462K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$255K to $383K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$244K to $462K
68.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043500) | $318K | $364K | +14.3% | |
| Kissimmee | $318K | $351K | +10.2% | |
| South and East Osceola | $294K | $319K | +8.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042400) | $318K | $326K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | $218K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34743 · Census Tract 12097042702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$319K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$462K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $89K | $119K | $130K | $162K | $209K | $197K | $257K | $276K | $305K | $306K | $321K | $330K | $319K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$221,686 | -$216,886 | -$186,886 | -$176,586 | -$144,486 | -$97,486 | -$108,686 | -$49,486 | -$30,186 | -$1,086 | +$15,308 | +$23,968 | +$13,090 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -72.4% | -70.9% | -61.1% | -57.7% | -47.2% | -31.8% | -35.5% | -16.2% | -9.9% | -0.4% | +5.0% | +7.8% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $255K | $249K | $244K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $383K | $432K | $462K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$255K to $383K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$244K to $462K
68.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043500) | $318K | $364K | +14.3% | |
| Kissimmee | $318K | $351K | +10.2% | |
| South and East Osceola | $294K | $319K | +8.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042400) | $318K | $326K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenaventura Lakes | $310K | $319K | $218K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
