Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34758 · Census Tract 12097041101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$269K
Downside (P10)
$249K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$405K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $180K | $215K | $251K | $271K | $269K | $279K | $283K | $291K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | +19.7% | +16.6% | +7.9% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +1.4% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $246K | $249K | $249K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $320K | $366K | $405K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$246K to $320K
26.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$249K to $405K
53.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poinciana | $273K | $291K | +6.5% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041900) | $273K | $308K | +12.5% | |
| Poinciana | $283K | $309K | +9.3% | |
| St. Cloud | $285K | $317K | +11.2% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042701) | $285K | $319K | +11.9% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040903) | $252K | $262K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poinciana | $273K | $291K | +6.5% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poinciana | $273K | $291K | $156K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.