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Osceola, FL · ZIP 34772 · Census Tract 12097043304 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$422K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$537K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $251K | $272K | $326K | $343K | $364K | $374K | $392K | $412K | $422K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,204 | -$101,304 | -$47,804 | -$30,704 | -$9,604 | +$18,418 | +$38,673 | +$48,287 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.7% | -27.1% | -12.8% | -8.2% | -2.6% | +4.9% | +10.4% | +12.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $313K | $309K | $298K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $478K | $529K | $537K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$313K to $478K
42.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$298K to $537K
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043208) | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| Four Corners | $367K | $420K | +14.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042903) | $375K | $422K | +12.7% | |
| Kissimmee | $376K | $415K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042100) | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042000) | $439K | $506K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | $239K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34772 · Census Tract 12097043304 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$422K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$537K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $251K | $272K | $326K | $343K | $364K | $374K | $392K | $412K | $422K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,204 | -$101,304 | -$47,804 | -$30,704 | -$9,604 | +$18,418 | +$38,673 | +$48,287 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.7% | -27.1% | -12.8% | -8.2% | -2.6% | +4.9% | +10.4% | +12.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $313K | $309K | $298K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $478K | $529K | $537K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$313K to $478K
42.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$298K to $537K
56.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043208) | $379K | $437K | +15.3% | |
| Four Corners | $367K | $420K | +14.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042903) | $375K | $422K | +12.7% | |
| Kissimmee | $376K | $415K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042100) | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042000) | $439K | $506K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Cloud · Saint Cloud · (Tract 433.4) | $364K | $422K | $239K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
