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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Osceola, FL · ZIP 34741 · Census Tract 12097042000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$449K
Downside (P10)
$354K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$506K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$703K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $79K | $91K | $110K | $152K | $301K | $331K | $346K | $345K | $371K | $442K | $449K | $464K | $482K | $506K |
| YoY Change | +16.3% | +19.8% | +39.2% | +97.6% | +9.9% | +4.6% | -0.3% | +7.7% | +19.0% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +5.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $363K | $349K | $354K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $583K | $664K | $703K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$363K to $583K
47.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$354K to $703K
68.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34741 · (Tract 420) | $439K | $506K | +15.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043205) | $458K | $526K | +14.8% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043100) | $426K | $485K | +13.9% | |
| Kissimmee | $437K | $476K | +9.0% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043600) | $449K | $473K | +5.5% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043301) | $443K | $466K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34741 · (Tract 420) | $439K | $506K | +15.4% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043209) | $480K | $562K | +17.2% | |
| Poinciana | $294K | $344K | +16.9% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043207) | $372K | $434K | +16.8% | |
| Kissimmee | $320K | $371K | +16.1% | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043304) | $364K | $422K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kissimmee · 34741 · (Tract 420) | $439K | $506K | $349K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 041005) | $205K | $212K | $110K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 042300) | $225K | $257K | $104K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 042905) | $147K | $165K | $101K | |
| St. Cloud (Tract 043203) | $203K | $223K | $96K | |
| Kissimmee (Tract 040810) | $79K | $89K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.