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Orange, FL · ZIP 32825 · Census Tract 12095016713 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$286K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$315K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$448K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $114K | $125K | $146K | $165K | $186K | $205K | $240K | $269K | $278K | $286K | $290K | $302K | $315K | $288K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +9.6% | +16.4% | +13.3% | +12.6% | +10.2% | +16.8% | +12.2% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +4.4% | -8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $259K | $253K | $250K | $254K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $357K | $379K | $448K | $326K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$259K to $357K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$254K to $326K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford Lakes · 32825 · (Tract 167.13) | $281K | $315K | +12.4% | |
| South Orlando | $290K | $325K | +12.1% | |
| Oak Ridge (Tract 016910) | $282K | $311K | +10.1% | |
| Oak Ridge (Tract 016904) | $289K | $307K | +6.2% | |
| Meadow Woods | $283K | $298K | +5.4% | |
| Azalea Park | $288K | $290K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford Lakes · 32825 · (Tract 167.13) | $281K | $315K | +12.4% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford Lakes · 32825 · (Tract 167.13) | $281K | $315K | $199K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando (Tract 016906) | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.