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Orange, FL · ZIP 32821 · Census Tract 12095017025 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$429K
Downside (P10)
$389K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$591K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $305K | $316K | $374K | $458K | $420K | $429K | $446K | $468K | $490K |
| YoY Change | +3.5% | +18.6% | +22.4% | -8.3% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $388K | $394K | $389K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $510K | $548K | $591K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$388K to $510K
27.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$389K to $591K
41.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Drive · 32821 · (Tract 170.25) | $428K | $490K | +14.5% | |
| Avalon Park | $423K | $480K | +13.6% | |
| Colonialtown | $426K | $478K | +12.0% | |
| Ocoee | $434K | $475K | +9.6% | |
| Apopka | $421K | $448K | +6.4% | |
| Union Park | $429K | $441K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Drive · 32821 · (Tract 170.25) | $428K | $490K | +14.5% | |
| Conway | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Apopka | $229K | $274K | +19.5% | |
| Azalea Park (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Drive · 32821 · (Tract 170.25) | $428K | $490K | $202K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| International Drive | $147K | $170K | $83K | |
| Waterford Lakes | $133K | $145K | $76K | |
| Orlando (Tract 016906) | $119K | $128K | $61K | |
| UCF | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.