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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32579 · Census Tract 12091021501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$418K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$504K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$626K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $252K | $243K | $255K | $285K | $345K | $373K | $430K | $465K | $466K | $479K | $491K | $492K | $504K |
| YoY Change | +11.4% | -3.6% | +4.9% | +11.7% | +21.1% | +8.2% | +15.3% | +8.2% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $443K | $420K | $418K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $573K | $597K | $626K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$443K to $573K
26.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$418K to $626K
41.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Walton Beach | $469K | $504K | +7.5% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021600) | $475K | $523K | +10.0% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021001) | $483K | $518K | +7.2% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021102) | $441K | $469K | +6.4% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 023305) | $510K | $540K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Walton Beach | $469K | $504K | +7.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Walton Beach | $469K | $504K | $208K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.