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Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32542 · Census Tract 12091020800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$636K
Downside (P10)
$531K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$644K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$775K
+22% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +22%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $349K | $351K | $370K | $374K | $407K | $431K | $469K | $545K | $537K | $610K | $636K | $659K | $657K | $644K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | +5.3% | +1.0% | +9.0% | +5.7% | +9.0% | +16.2% | -1.6% | +13.6% | +4.3% | +3.7% | -0.3% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $537K | $525K | $531K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $721K | $767K | $775K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$537K to $721K
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$531K to $775K
37.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eglin AFB | $631K | $644K | +2.0% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 023200) | $570K | $627K | +9.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 023303) | $721K | $789K | +9.5% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 021001) | $483K | $518K | +7.2% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 023305) | $510K | $540K | +6.0% | |
| Niceville-Valparaiso (Tract 020900) | $592K | $605K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eglin AFB | $631K | $644K | +2.0% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eglin AFB | $631K | $644K | $244K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.