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Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32567 · Census Tract 12091020200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$209K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$274K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$372K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $133K | $130K | $111K | $109K | $117K | $117K | $172K | $204K | $258K | $267K | $270K | $276K | $274K | $269K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$138,743 | -$134,243 | -$137,143 | -$156,043 | -$157,443 | -$150,243 | -$149,343 | -$94,543 | -$63,043 | -$8,543 | +$3,464 | +$9,492 | +$6,882 | +$1,828 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.0% | -50.3% | -51.4% | -58.5% | -59.0% | -56.3% | -56.0% | -35.4% | -23.6% | -3.2% | +1.3% | +3.6% | +2.6% | +0.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $220K | $213K | $209K | $239K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $325K | $365K | $372K | $301K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$220K to $325K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$239K to $301K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | +3.2% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020602) | $273K | $294K | +7.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | +7.7% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | +7.4% | |
| Fort Walton Beach | $274K | $290K | +6.0% | |
| Wright | $273K | $286K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | +3.2% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | $163K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32567 · Census Tract 12091020200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$267K
Downside (P10)
$209K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$274K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$372K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $133K | $130K | $111K | $109K | $117K | $117K | $172K | $204K | $258K | $267K | $270K | $276K | $274K | $269K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$138,743 | -$134,243 | -$137,143 | -$156,043 | -$157,443 | -$150,243 | -$149,343 | -$94,543 | -$63,043 | -$8,543 | +$3,464 | +$9,492 | +$6,882 | +$1,828 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.0% | -50.3% | -51.4% | -58.5% | -59.0% | -56.3% | -56.0% | -35.4% | -23.6% | -3.2% | +1.3% | +3.6% | +2.6% | +0.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $220K | $213K | $209K | $239K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $325K | $365K | $372K | $301K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$220K to $325K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$239K to $301K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | +3.2% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020602) | $273K | $294K | +7.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | +7.7% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | +7.4% | |
| Fort Walton Beach | $274K | $290K | +6.0% | |
| Wright | $273K | $286K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | +3.2% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel Hill | $265K | $274K | $163K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
