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Okaloosa, FL · ZIP 32531 · Census Tract 12091020102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$323K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$325K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$515K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $201K | $195K | $232K | $266K | $322K | $323K | $335K | $337K | $325K |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | +18.6% | +14.6% | +21.4% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +0.7% | -3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $290K | $283K | $281K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $426K | $475K | $515K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$290K to $426K
40.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$281K to $515K
71.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker | $328K | $325K | -0.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach | $334K | $349K | +4.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020702) | $333K | $340K | +2.2% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020601) | $335K | $340K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker | $328K | $325K | -0.9% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020304) | $320K | $364K | +13.8% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021700) | $447K | $507K | +13.5% | |
| Crestview (Tract 020305) | $318K | $360K | +13.3% | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022900) | $292K | $330K | +13.2% | |
| Wright | $307K | $344K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker | $328K | $325K | $234K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020500) | $264K | $284K | $142K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 022800) | $274K | $290K | $136K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020701) | $261K | $280K | $128K | |
| Crestview (Tract 020306) | $252K | $279K | $126K | |
| Fort Walton Beach (Tract 021901) | $165K | $182K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.