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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Nassau, FL · ZIP 32034 · Census Tract 12089050203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$782K
Downside (P10)
$706K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$844K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $417K | $459K | $468K | $466K | $480K | $502K | $540K | $665K | $723K | $770K | $782K | $812K | $817K | $844K |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +2.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +7.7% | +23.1% | +8.7% | +6.5% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +0.6% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $732K | $713K | $706K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $934K | $998K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$732K to $934K
24.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$706K to $1.04M
39.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach | $782K | $844K | +7.9% | |
| Yulee | $509K | $594K | +16.7% | |
| Fernandina Beach (Tract 050205) | $575K | $650K | +12.9% | |
| Fernandina Beach (Tract 050104) | $750K | $819K | +9.1% | |
| Fernandina Beach (Tract 050102) | $469K | $482K | +2.9% | |
| Fernandina Beach (Tract 050204) | $454K | $466K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach | $782K | $844K | +7.9% | |
| Yulee | $509K | $594K | +16.7% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050507) | $284K | $327K | +15.2% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050509) | $250K | $285K | +14.2% | |
| Fernandina Beach | $575K | $650K | +12.9% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050506) | $364K | $409K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach | $782K | $844K | $329K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050401) | $230K | $247K | $147K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050304) | $269K | $280K | $137K | |
| Nassau Village-Ratliff | $252K | $264K | $125K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050508) | $198K | $216K | $110K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050305) | $241K | $261K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.