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Nassau, FL · ZIP 32034 · Census Tract 12089050103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$397K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$420K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$655K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $235K | $234K | $273K | $349K | $383K | $397K | $402K | $414K | $420K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$161,619 | -$162,919 | -$124,419 | -$48,419 | -$14,219 | +$5,261 | +$17,010 | +$22,930 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.7% | -41.0% | -31.3% | -12.2% | -3.6% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $331K | $321K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $605K | $655K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$338K to $546K
51.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$321K to $655K
79.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | +6.3% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard | $364K | $409K | +12.3% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050309) | $413K | $437K | +5.9% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050307) | $413K | $434K | +5.0% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050310) | $441K | $462K | +4.6% | |
| Fernandina Beach | $454K | $466K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | +6.3% | |
| Yulee | $509K | $594K | +16.7% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050507) | $284K | $327K | +15.2% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050509) | $250K | $285K | +14.2% | |
| Fernandina Beach | $575K | $650K | +12.9% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050506) | $364K | $409K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | $335K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050401) | $230K | $247K | $147K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050304) | $269K | $280K | $137K | |
| Nassau Village-Ratliff | $252K | $264K | $125K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050508) | $198K | $216K | $110K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050305) | $241K | $261K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nassau, FL · ZIP 32034 · Census Tract 12089050103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$397K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$420K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$655K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $235K | $234K | $273K | $349K | $383K | $397K | $402K | $414K | $420K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$161,619 | -$162,919 | -$124,419 | -$48,419 | -$14,219 | +$5,261 | +$17,010 | +$22,930 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.7% | -41.0% | -31.3% | -12.2% | -3.6% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $331K | $321K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $605K | $655K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$338K to $546K
51.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$321K to $655K
79.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | +6.3% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard | $364K | $409K | +12.3% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050309) | $413K | $437K | +5.9% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050307) | $413K | $434K | +5.0% | |
| Yulee (Tract 050310) | $441K | $462K | +4.6% | |
| Fernandina Beach | $454K | $466K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | +6.3% | |
| Yulee | $509K | $594K | +16.7% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050507) | $284K | $327K | +15.2% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050509) | $250K | $285K | +14.2% | |
| Fernandina Beach | $575K | $650K | +12.9% | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050506) | $364K | $409K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernandina Beach · 32034 · (Tract 501.3) | $395K | $420K | $335K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050401) | $230K | $247K | $147K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050304) | $269K | $280K | $137K | |
| Nassau Village-Ratliff | $252K | $264K | $125K | |
| Callahan-Hilliard (Tract 050508) | $198K | $216K | $110K | |
| Yulee (Tract 050305) | $241K | $261K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
