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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Monroe, FL · ZIP 33040 · Census Tract 12087972800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.23M
Downside (P10)
$1.12M
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.79M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $863K | $880K | $908K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +3.2% | +18.2% | +10.9% | +3.4% | +3.7% | +5.6% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.08M to $1.50M
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.12M to $1.79M
48.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9728) | $1.21M | $1.38M | +14.6% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970900) | $999K | $1.12M | +11.8% | |
| Middle Keys | $1.08M | $1.20M | +11.0% | |
| Key West (Tract 972400) | $1.07M | $1.16M | +8.1% | |
| Key West (Tract 972500) | $1.33M | $1.40M | +5.3% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970800) | $951K | $997K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9728) | $1.21M | $1.38M | +14.6% | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | +17.4% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971402) | $712K | $827K | +16.2% | |
| Key West | $565K | $647K | +14.5% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971501) | $859K | $973K | +13.3% | |
| Upper Keys | $999K | $1.12M | +11.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9728) | $1.21M | $1.38M | $669K | |
| Key West | $565K | $647K | $387K | |
| Lower Keys | $623K | $651K | $332K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970700) | $624K | $683K | $310K | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | $273K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970400) | $503K | $522K | $233K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.