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Miami, FL · ZIP 33196 · Census Tract 12086018500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$481K
Downside (P10)
$419K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$560K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$719K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $232K | $233K | $236K | $254K | $286K | $320K | $351K | $390K | $425K | $467K | $481K | $503K | $527K | $560K | $487K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$249,298 | -$247,698 | -$244,898 | -$226,598 | -$194,598 | -$160,898 | -$130,298 | -$90,998 | -$55,598 | -$13,798 | +$21,999 | +$46,332 | +$78,902 | +$5,607 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.8% | -51.5% | -50.9% | -47.1% | -40.5% | -33.5% | -27.1% | -18.9% | -11.6% | -2.9% | +4.6% | +9.6% | +16.4% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $434K | $414K | $419K | $434K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $598K | $642K | $719K | $549K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$434K to $598K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$434K to $549K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hialeah | $479K | $543K | +13.3% | |
| Golden Glades (Tract 000312) | $488K | $549K | +12.7% | |
| Aventura (Tract 000142) | $480K | $513K | +7.0% | |
| Golden Glades (Tract 000302) | $481K | $509K | +5.7% | |
| Aventura (Tract 000131) | $482K | $500K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (Tract 002403) | $392K | $491K | +25.2% | |
| Pinewood | $409K | $488K | +19.4% | |
| Hialeah | $459K | $540K | +17.5% | |
| Miami (Tract 002001) | $470K | $552K | +17.3% | |
| Miami Gardens | $407K | $477K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aventura | $271K | $293K | $113K | |
| Miami (Tract 002404) | $172K | $177K | $97K | |
| Miami (Tract 000309) | $168K | $177K | $96K | |
| North Miami | $143K | $156K | $89K | |
| Hialeah | $64K | $69K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Miami, FL · ZIP 33196 · Census Tract 12086018500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$481K
Downside (P10)
$419K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$560K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$719K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $232K | $233K | $236K | $254K | $286K | $320K | $351K | $390K | $425K | $467K | $481K | $503K | $527K | $560K | $487K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$249,298 | -$247,698 | -$244,898 | -$226,598 | -$194,598 | -$160,898 | -$130,298 | -$90,998 | -$55,598 | -$13,798 | +$21,999 | +$46,332 | +$78,902 | +$5,607 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.8% | -51.5% | -50.9% | -47.1% | -40.5% | -33.5% | -27.1% | -18.9% | -11.6% | -2.9% | +4.6% | +9.6% | +16.4% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $434K | $414K | $419K | $434K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $598K | $642K | $719K | $549K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$434K to $598K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$434K to $549K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hialeah | $479K | $543K | +13.3% | |
| Golden Glades (Tract 000312) | $488K | $549K | +12.7% | |
| Aventura (Tract 000142) | $480K | $513K | +7.0% | |
| Golden Glades (Tract 000302) | $481K | $509K | +5.7% | |
| Aventura (Tract 000131) | $482K | $500K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (Tract 002403) | $392K | $491K | +25.2% | |
| Pinewood | $409K | $488K | +19.4% | |
| Hialeah | $459K | $540K | +17.5% | |
| Miami (Tract 002001) | $470K | $552K | +17.3% | |
| Miami Gardens | $407K | $477K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aventura | $271K | $293K | $113K | |
| Miami (Tract 002404) | $172K | $177K | $97K | |
| Miami (Tract 000309) | $168K | $177K | $96K | |
| North Miami | $143K | $156K | $89K | |
| Hialeah | $64K | $69K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
