What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083002706 in Dunnellon?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $208,770 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083002706 in Dunnellon?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $208,770 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.3%.

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Parcel 12083002706 (Dunnellon) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12083002706, Dunnellon Home Price Forecast

Marion, FL · ZIP 34431 · Census Tract 12083002706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$209K

Downside (P10)

$180K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$230K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$291K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$118K	$127K	$157K	$187K	$196K	$209K	$214K	$226K	$230K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,170	-$81,670	-$51,670	-$21,670	-$13,070		+$5,208	+$17,151	+$21,459
Growth % vs 2026	-43.7%	-39.1%	-24.7%	-10.4%	-6.3%		+2.5%	+8.2%	+10.3%
Downside (P10)							$182K	$182K	$180K
Upside (P90)							$242K	$270K	$291K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$182K to $242K

28.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$180K to $291K

48.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.3% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12083002706, Dunnellon on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).