What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083000806 in The Villages?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $349,627 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12083000806 in The Villages?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $349,627 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.9%.

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Parcel 12083000806 (The Villages) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12083000806, The Villages Home Price Forecast

Marion, FL · ZIP 32162 · Census Tract 12083000806 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$350K

Downside (P10)

$306K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$384K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$521K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$236K	$278K	$340K	$351K	$341K	$350K	$356K	$364K	$384K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$113,927	-$71,427	-$9,227	+$1,173	-$8,227		+$6,703	+$14,361	+$34,754
Growth % vs 2026	-32.6%	-20.4%	-2.6%	+0.3%	-2.4%		+1.9%	+4.1%	+9.9%
Downside (P10)							$310K	$315K	$306K
Upside (P90)							$436K	$500K	$521K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$310K to $436K

35.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$306K to $521K

56.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.9% · Spread: 56%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12083000806, The Villages on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).