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Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33598 · Census Tract 12057013914 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$319K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$424K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$610K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $113K | $112K | $144K | $206K | $252K | $257K | $318K | $343K | $384K | $380K | $404K | $416K | $424K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$268,222 | -$266,422 | -$268,022 | -$235,922 | -$173,822 | -$127,922 | -$122,922 | -$62,022 | -$36,422 | +$4,278 | +$23,889 | +$36,183 | +$44,263 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -70.6% | -70.2% | -70.6% | -62.1% | -45.8% | -33.7% | -32.4% | -16.3% | -9.6% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +9.5% | +11.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $335K | $319K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $499K | $540K | $610K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$339K to $499K
39.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$319K to $610K
68.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 010305) | $381K | $434K | +13.9% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007103) | $384K | $417K | +8.6% | |
| Tampa (Tract 003000) | $378K | $398K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002400) | $377K | $387K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33598 · Census Tract 12057013914 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$319K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$424K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$610K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $113K | $112K | $144K | $206K | $252K | $257K | $318K | $343K | $384K | $380K | $404K | $416K | $424K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$268,222 | -$266,422 | -$268,022 | -$235,922 | -$173,822 | -$127,922 | -$122,922 | -$62,022 | -$36,422 | +$4,278 | +$23,889 | +$36,183 | +$44,263 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -70.6% | -70.2% | -70.6% | -62.1% | -45.8% | -33.7% | -32.4% | -16.3% | -9.6% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +9.5% | +11.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $335K | $319K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $499K | $540K | $610K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$339K to $499K
39.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$319K to $610K
68.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 010305) | $381K | $434K | +13.9% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007103) | $384K | $417K | +8.6% | |
| Tampa (Tract 003000) | $378K | $398K | +5.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002400) | $377K | $387K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 006503) | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 005101) | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 007102) | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Citrus Park | $352K | $419K | +18.8% | |
| University | $91K | $108K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K | |
| University | $91K | $108K | $70K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
