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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33615 · Census Tract 12057011614 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$273K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$296K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$371K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $92K | $95K | $108K | $123K | $131K | $165K | $211K | $246K | $272K | $273K | $285K | $297K | $296K |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | +2.5% | +13.9% | +13.7% | +6.6% | +26.0% | +28.0% | +16.6% | +10.7% | +0.5% | +4.3% | +4.0% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $253K | $257K | $254K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $317K | $340K | $371K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$253K to $317K
22.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$254K to $371K
39.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town N Country | $275K | $296K | +7.5% | |
| East Tampa (Tract 002000) | $273K | $304K | +11.3% | |
| East Tampa (Tract 003400) | $275K | $303K | +10.1% | |
| East Tampa (Tract 010402) | $274K | $294K | +7.1% | |
| East Tampa (Tract 010502) | $274K | $282K | +2.7% | |
| Brandon | $275K | $280K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town N Country | $275K | $296K | +7.5% | |
| Plant City | $313K | $388K | +23.8% | |
| Bayshore | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Downtown Tampa | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Ballast Point | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Palm River-Gibsonton | $290K | $347K | +19.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Town N Country | $275K | $296K | $117K | |
| Gibsonton | $104K | $113K | $61K | |
| Valrico | $86K | $91K | $49K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K | |
| Ruskin | $64K | $73K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.