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Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33569 · Census Tract 12057013412 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$376K
Downside (P10)
$285K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$504K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $178K | $194K | $206K | $224K | $246K | $253K | $305K | $335K | $370K | $376K | $384K | $392K | $392K | $386K |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | +8.8% | +6.5% | +8.6% | +9.7% | +2.9% | +20.7% | +9.9% | +10.4% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +0.1% | -1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $279K | $285K | $345K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $443K | $494K | $504K | $434K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $443K
36.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$345K to $434K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverview · 33569 · (Tract 134.12) | $373K | $392K | +5.2% | |
| Valrico | $376K | $447K | +18.7% | |
| Brandon (Tract 013312) | $376K | $431K | +14.6% | |
| Sun City Center (Tract 014017) | $377K | $415K | +10.3% | |
| Brandon (Tract 013310) | $377K | $408K | +8.3% | |
| Sun City Center (Tract 014009) | $377K | $403K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverview · 33569 · (Tract 134.12) | $373K | $392K | +5.2% | |
| Plant City | $313K | $388K | +23.8% | |
| Bayshore | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Downtown Tampa | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Ballast Point | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Palm River-Gibsonton | $290K | $347K | +19.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverview · 33569 · (Tract 134.12) | $373K | $392K | $220K | |
| Gibsonton | $104K | $113K | $61K | |
| Valrico | $86K | $91K | $49K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K | |
| Ruskin | $64K | $73K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.