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Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33619 · Census Tract 12057012211 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.19M
Downside (P10)
$1.07M
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.32M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.84M
+55% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2018 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $71K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +1452.5% | +7.7% | +5.5% | +3.3% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.02M to $1.53M
40.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.07M to $1.84M
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress Village · 33619 · (Tract 122.11) | $1.16M | $1.32M | +13.8% | |
| Bayshore | $1.06M | $1.12M | +5.9% | |
| Hyde Park (Tract 005401) | $1.05M | $1.06M | +1.2% | |
| Hyde Park (Tract 006101) | $1.35M | $1.41M | +4.3% | |
| Palma Ceia (Tract 005900) | $1.00M | $1.11M | +11.1% | |
| Palma Ceia (Tract 006000) | $1.00M | $1.12M | +12.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress Village · 33619 · (Tract 122.11) | $1.16M | $1.32M | +13.8% | |
| Plant City | $313K | $388K | +23.8% | |
| Bayshore | $500K | $607K | +21.4% | |
| Downtown Tampa | $526K | $632K | +20.1% | |
| Ballast Point | $943K | $1.13M | +20.1% | |
| Palm River-Gibsonton | $290K | $347K | +19.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress Village · 33619 · (Tract 122.11) | $1.16M | $1.32M | $770K | |
| Ruskin | $64K | $73K | $35K | |
| Plant City | $63K | $66K | $35K | |
| Thonotosassa | $75K | $82K | $47K | |
| Valrico | $86K | $91K | $49K | |
| Gibsonton | $104K | $113K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.