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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Hillsborough, FL · ZIP 33511 · Census Tract 12057013312 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$381K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$431K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$515K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $158K | $166K | $176K | $188K | $215K | $246K | $293K | $344K | $378K | $381K | $398K | $408K | $431K |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | +4.7% | +6.5% | +6.7% | +14.0% | +14.3% | +19.2% | +17.4% | +9.9% | +0.9% | +4.4% | +2.6% | +5.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $326K | $322K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $455K | $484K | $515K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$327K to $455K
32.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$322K to $515K
44.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002200) | $394K | $438K | +11.1% | |
| Tampa (Tract 002100) | $357K | $395K | +10.6% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001400) | $341K | $376K | +10.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001100) | $406K | $444K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 001700) | $375K | $433K | +15.3% | |
| Tampa (Tract 000202) | $254K | $289K | +13.5% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001600) | $441K | $497K | +12.9% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001001) | $244K | $274K | +12.4% | |
| Tampa (Tract 001800) | $206K | $231K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa (Tract 000702) | $236K | $261K | $118K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000902) | $215K | $216K | $117K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000800) | $243K | $254K | $112K | |
| Tampa (Tract 001900) | $226K | $246K | $101K | |
| Tampa (Tract 000701) | $202K | $225K | $97K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.