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Flagler, FL · ZIP 32164 · Census Tract 12035060208 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$324K
Downside (P10)
$264K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$362K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$451K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $147K | $159K | $171K | $173K | $190K | $206K | $230K | $269K | $311K | $331K | $324K | $337K | $339K | $362K |
| YoY Change | +7.7% | +7.4% | +1.6% | +9.7% | +8.4% | +11.8% | +16.8% | +15.5% | +6.4% | -2.0% | +3.9% | +0.8% | +6.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $276K | $264K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $418K | $451K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$283K to $420K
40.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$264K to $451K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunnell | $327K | $362K | +10.6% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060220) | $310K | $352K | +13.8% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060212) | $330K | $353K | +6.8% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060213) | $307K | $328K | +6.7% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060214) | $335K | $352K | +4.8% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060219) | $332K | $347K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunnell | $327K | $362K | +10.6% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060220) | $310K | $352K | +13.8% | |
| Bunnell (Tract 060207) | $440K | $491K | +11.6% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060107) | $297K | $331K | +11.6% | |
| Bunnell (Tract 060216) | $395K | $432K | +9.5% | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060211) | $342K | $371K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunnell | $327K | $362K | $188K | |
| Bunnell (Tract 060216) | $395K | $432K | $173K | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060107) | $297K | $331K | $169K | |
| Flagler Beach | $262K | $280K | $157K | |
| Palm Coast (Tract 060103) | $300K | $292K | $146K | |
| Bunnell (Tract 060206) | $206K | $216K | $122K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.