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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Escambia, FL · ZIP 32514 · Census Tract 12033003511 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$331K
Downside (P10)
$286K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$355K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$514K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $217K | $235K | $283K | $294K | $329K | $331K | $340K | $348K | $355K |
| YoY Change | +8.0% | +20.8% | +3.9% | +11.8% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $297K | $286K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $415K | $447K | $514K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$298K to $415K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$286K to $514K
64.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $331K | $355K | +7.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001101) | $351K | $404K | +15.2% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 003201) | $308K | $332K | +7.8% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001002) | $318K | $338K | +6.4% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 000500) | $325K | $345K | +6.1% | |
| Cantonment | $312K | $329K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $331K | $355K | +7.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 002607) | $414K | $492K | +18.9% | |
| Gonzalez | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001500) | $113K | $130K | +15.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001800) | $88K | $101K | +15.3% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001101) | $351K | $404K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $331K | $355K | $227K | |
| Century | $128K | $136K | $63K | |
| Warrington | $105K | $114K | $58K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002803) | $110K | $119K | $55K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002100) | $89K | $97K | $45K | |
| Pensacola | $88K | $101K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.