Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Escambia, FL · ZIP 32514 · Census Tract 12033003506 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$249K
Downside (P10)
$214K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$258K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$328K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $123K | $126K | $130K | $140K | $164K | $175K | $212K | $236K | $245K | $249K | $261K | $264K | $258K | $254K |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +7.6% | +17.6% | +6.3% | +21.3% | +11.1% | +4.2% | +1.6% | +4.6% | +1.2% | -2.2% | -1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $220K | $217K | $214K | $222K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $298K | $307K | $328K | $289K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$220K to $298K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$222K to $289K
26.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $250K | $258K | +3.3% | |
| Ferry Pass | $252K | $270K | +7.0% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 003308) | $240K | $253K | +5.1% | |
| Cantonment | $252K | $265K | +4.9% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 003505) | $241K | $253K | +4.7% | |
| Northwest Escambia | $251K | $252K | +0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $250K | $258K | +3.3% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 002607) | $414K | $492K | +18.9% | |
| Gonzalez | $277K | $321K | +16.1% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001500) | $113K | $130K | +15.5% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001800) | $88K | $101K | +15.3% | |
| Pensacola (Tract 001101) | $351K | $404K | +15.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferry Pass | $250K | $258K | $113K | |
| Century | $128K | $136K | $63K | |
| Warrington | $105K | $114K | $58K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002803) | $110K | $119K | $55K | |
| West Pensacola (Tract 002100) | $89K | $97K | $45K | |
| Pensacola | $88K | $101K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.