What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12031010502 in Jacksonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,892 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12031010502 in Jacksonville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $265,892 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.4%.

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Parcel 12031010502 (Jacksonville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12031010502, Jacksonville Home Price Forecast

Duval, FL · ZIP 32219 · Census Tract 12031010502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$266K

Downside (P10)

$215K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$278K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$352K

+33% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$166K	$157K	$187K	$216K	$264K	$266K	$271K	$279K	$278K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$99,792	-$108,692	-$79,392	-$49,892	-$2,292		+$5,226	+$13,254	+$11,672
Growth % vs 2026	-37.5%	-40.9%	-29.9%	-18.8%	-0.9%		+2.0%	+5.0%	+4.4%
Downside (P10)							$240K	$224K	$215K
Upside (P90)							$313K	$344K	$352K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$240K to $313K

27.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$215K to $352K

49.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.4% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 12031010502, Jacksonville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).