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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Duval, FL · ZIP 32254 · Census Tract 12031011800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$128K
Downside (P10)
$98K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$137K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$191K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $74K | $62K | $59K | $65K | $80K | $94K | $100K | $106K | $124K | $128K | $129K | $133K | $137K |
| YoY Change | -3.8% | -15.6% | -5.8% | +10.9% | +22.7% | +17.6% | +6.0% | +6.1% | +17.5% | +2.6% | +0.9% | +3.2% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $104K | $96K | $98K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $157K | $172K | $191K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$104K to $157K
40.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$98K to $191K
67.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville (Tract 013732) | $203K | $227K | +11.8% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013524) | $254K | $271K | +6.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013525) | $215K | $228K | +6.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013523) | $253K | $268K | +6.0% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013522) | $256K | $271K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013733) | $359K | $404K | +12.3% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013732) | $203K | $227K | +11.8% | |
| Jacksonville Beaches | $946K | $1.05M | +10.6% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013730) | $336K | $363K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville (Tract 013522) | $256K | $271K | $146K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013524) | $254K | $271K | $141K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013731) | $268K | $284K | $137K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013732) | $203K | $227K | $131K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013525) | $215K | $228K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.