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Duval, FL · ZIP 32219 · Census Tract 12031010502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$215K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$278K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$352K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $157K | $187K | $216K | $264K | $266K | $271K | $279K | $278K |
| YoY Change | -5.4% | +18.6% | +15.8% | +22.0% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +3.0% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $224K | $215K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $313K | $344K | $352K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$240K to $313K
27.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$215K to $352K
49.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32219 · (Tract 105.2) | $268K | $278K | +3.4% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 016726) | $266K | $298K | +12.2% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 016002) | $269K | $301K | +11.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 017200) | $267K | $298K | +11.6% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 016808) | $265K | $290K | +9.6% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013731) | $268K | $284K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32219 · (Tract 105.2) | $268K | $278K | +3.4% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 016810) | $426K | $519K | +21.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $99K | $119K | +20.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014424) | $438K | $522K | +19.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010203) | $283K | $336K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32219 · (Tract 105.2) | $268K | $278K | $138K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000300) | $89K | $93K | $55K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002802) | $77K | $91K | $50K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000200) | $91K | $98K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001600) | $77K | $85K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.