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Duval, FL · ZIP 32207 · Census Tract 12031000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$597K
Downside (P10)
$490K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$894K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $307K | $386K | $399K | $388K | $389K | $387K | $451K | $483K | $569K | $597K | $600K | $603K | $624K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$314,660 | -$289,360 | -$211,060 | -$197,560 | -$208,260 | -$207,560 | -$209,660 | -$145,560 | -$113,360 | -$27,860 | +$2,980 | +$5,968 | +$27,212 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.7% | -48.5% | -35.4% | -33.1% | -34.9% | -34.8% | -35.1% | -24.4% | -19.0% | -4.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $532K | $497K | $490K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $738K | $827K | $894K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$532K to $738K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$490K to $894K
64.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | +6.4% | |
| Jacksonville Beach (Tract 014103) | $587K | $667K | +13.5% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014421) | $571K | $647K | +13.3% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013000) | $611K | $669K | +9.5% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014341) | $575K | $606K | +5.5% | |
| Jacksonville Beach (Tract 014206) | $613K | $641K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | +6.4% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $99K | $119K | +20.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014424) | $438K | $522K | +19.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010203) | $283K | $336K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014425) | $421K | $498K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | $404K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000300) | $89K | $93K | $55K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002802) | $77K | $91K | $50K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000200) | $91K | $98K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001600) | $77K | $85K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Duval, FL · ZIP 32207 · Census Tract 12031000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$597K
Downside (P10)
$490K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$894K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $307K | $386K | $399K | $388K | $389K | $387K | $451K | $483K | $569K | $597K | $600K | $603K | $624K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$314,660 | -$289,360 | -$211,060 | -$197,560 | -$208,260 | -$207,560 | -$209,660 | -$145,560 | -$113,360 | -$27,860 | +$2,980 | +$5,968 | +$27,212 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.7% | -48.5% | -35.4% | -33.1% | -34.9% | -34.8% | -35.1% | -24.4% | -19.0% | -4.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $532K | $497K | $490K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $738K | $827K | $894K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$532K to $738K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$490K to $894K
64.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | +6.4% | |
| Jacksonville Beach (Tract 014103) | $587K | $667K | +13.5% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014421) | $571K | $647K | +13.3% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 013000) | $611K | $669K | +9.5% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014341) | $575K | $606K | +5.5% | |
| Jacksonville Beach (Tract 014206) | $613K | $641K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | +6.4% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $99K | $119K | +20.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014424) | $438K | $522K | +19.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010203) | $283K | $336K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014425) | $421K | $498K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville · 32207 · (Tract 7) | $586K | $624K | $404K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000300) | $89K | $93K | $55K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002802) | $77K | $91K | $50K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000200) | $91K | $98K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001600) | $77K | $85K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
