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Duval, FL · ZIP 32250 · Census Tract 12031014205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$735K
Downside (P10)
$545K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$774K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $377K | $392K | $479K | $579K | $701K | $735K | $741K | $749K | $774K | $735K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$358,087 | -$342,687 | -$256,187 | -$156,387 | -$34,487 | +$5,471 | +$13,463 | +$38,960 | -$484 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.7% | -46.6% | -34.9% | -21.3% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +5.3% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $577K | $551K | $545K | $655K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $878K | $945K | $1.0M | $820K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$577K to $878K
40.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$655K to $820K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | +8.2% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002102) | $740K | $841K | +13.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014418) | $656K | $744K | +13.5% | |
| Jacksonville Beach | $801K | $899K | +12.2% | |
| Neptune Beach (Tract 014002) | $653K | $712K | +9.1% | |
| Neptune Beach (Tract 014001) | $703K | $761K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | +8.2% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $99K | $119K | +20.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014424) | $438K | $522K | +19.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010203) | $283K | $336K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014425) | $421K | $498K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | $474K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000300) | $89K | $93K | $55K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002802) | $77K | $91K | $50K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000200) | $91K | $98K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001600) | $77K | $85K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Duval, FL · ZIP 32250 · Census Tract 12031014205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$735K
Downside (P10)
$545K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$774K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $377K | $392K | $479K | $579K | $701K | $735K | $741K | $749K | $774K | $735K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$358,087 | -$342,687 | -$256,187 | -$156,387 | -$34,487 | +$5,471 | +$13,463 | +$38,960 | -$484 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.7% | -46.6% | -34.9% | -21.3% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +5.3% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $577K | $551K | $545K | $655K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $878K | $945K | $1.0M | $820K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$577K to $878K
40.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$655K to $820K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | +8.2% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002102) | $740K | $841K | +13.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014418) | $656K | $744K | +13.5% | |
| Jacksonville Beach | $801K | $899K | +12.2% | |
| Neptune Beach (Tract 014002) | $653K | $712K | +9.1% | |
| Neptune Beach (Tract 014001) | $703K | $761K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | +8.2% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $99K | $119K | +20.9% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014424) | $438K | $522K | +19.1% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010601) | $277K | $328K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 010203) | $283K | $336K | +18.7% | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 014425) | $421K | $498K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Beach · 32250 · (Tract 142.5) | $716K | $774K | $474K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000300) | $89K | $93K | $55K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002802) | $77K | $91K | $50K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $80K | $86K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000200) | $91K | $98K | $49K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001600) | $77K | $85K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
