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DeSoto, FL · ZIP 34269 · Census Tract 12027010405 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$109K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$117K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$155K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $78K | $77K | $77K | $73K | $79K | $104K | $102K | $94K | $101K | $104K | $109K | $113K | $115K | $117K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | -0.1% | -5.1% | +7.2% | +32.9% | -2.2% | -7.8% | +7.2% | +3.4% | +4.4% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $94K | $91K | $89K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $136K | $141K | $155K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$94K to $136K
37.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$89K to $155K
56.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia West · Arcadia · (Tract 104.5) | $107K | $117K | +9.9% | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010101) | $94K | $109K | +15.9% | |
| Southeast Arcadia | $169K | $194K | +14.5% | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010302) | $172K | $196K | +14.0% | |
| Arcadia West (Tract 010406) | $183K | $198K | +8.5% | |
| Arcadia West (Tract 010404) | $169K | $181K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia West · Arcadia · (Tract 104.5) | $107K | $117K | +9.9% | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010101) | $94K | $109K | +15.9% | |
| Southeast Arcadia | $169K | $194K | +14.5% | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010302) | $172K | $196K | +14.0% | |
| Arcadia West | $183K | $198K | +8.5% | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010200) | $202K | $219K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia West · Arcadia · (Tract 104.5) | $107K | $117K | $66K | |
| Arcadia West (Tract 010404) | $169K | $181K | $110K | |
| Arcadia West (Tract 010406) | $183K | $198K | $110K | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010200) | $202K | $219K | $95K | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010302) | $172K | $196K | $95K | |
| Arcadia East (Tract 010101) | $94K | $109K | $55K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.