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Columbia, FL · ZIP 32038 · Census Tract 12023110903 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$196K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$213K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$284K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $101K | $99K | $99K | $109K | $112K | $127K | $135K | $160K | $176K | $192K | $196K | $202K | $208K | $213K | $199K |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | +0.6% | +9.8% | +3.2% | +12.6% | +6.9% | +18.2% | +9.8% | +9.3% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +2.4% | -6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $169K | $163K | $176K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $247K | $270K | $284K | $227K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$176K to $247K
35.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$176K to $227K
25.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort White | $193K | $213K | +10.1% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110602) | $211K | $236K | +12.0% | |
| Fort White (Tract 110904) | $188K | $207K | +10.5% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110800) | $187K | $197K | +5.7% | |
| Fort White (Tract 110901) | $198K | $209K | +5.5% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110603) | $190K | $197K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort White | $193K | $213K | +10.1% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110700) | $241K | $274K | +13.6% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110602) | $211K | $236K | +12.0% | |
| North Columbia | $86K | $96K | +11.8% | |
| Fort White | $188K | $207K | +10.5% | |
| Lake City (Tract 110400) | $102K | $111K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort White | $193K | $213K | $121K | |
| Lake City (Tract 110800) | $187K | $197K | $89K | |
| Fort White | $198K | $209K | $88K | |
| Lake City (Tract 110202) | $126K | $136K | $71K | |
| Lake City (Tract 110400) | $102K | $111K | $61K | |
| North Columbia | $86K | $96K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.