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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Collier, FL · ZIP 34110 · Census Tract 12021010102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$649K
Downside (P10)
$525K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$672K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$938K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $331K | $336K | $371K | $426K | $442K | $430K | $450K | $542K | $551K | $648K | $649K | $652K | $680K | $672K | $669K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +10.6% | +14.8% | +3.8% | -2.7% | +4.7% | +20.4% | +1.6% | +17.6% | +0.1% | +0.5% | +4.2% | -1.1% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $547K | $530K | $525K | $594K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $813K | $848K | $938K | $751K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$547K to $813K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$594K to $751K
23.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naples | $645K | $672K | +4.2% | |
| Naples (Tract 010434) | $640K | $736K | +15.0% | |
| Naples (Tract 010109) | $670K | $765K | +14.2% | |
| Naples (Tract 010437) | $674K | $768K | +13.9% | |
| Naples (Tract 010435) | $628K | $663K | +5.7% | |
| Everglades | $643K | $675K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naples | $645K | $672K | +4.2% | |
| Naples (Tract 000500) | $2.11M | $2.50M | +18.5% | |
| Naples (Tract 010428) | $441K | $517K | +17.2% | |
| Everglades | $796K | $932K | +17.0% | |
| Naples (Tract 010513) | $481K | $562K | +16.9% | |
| Marco Island | $881K | $1.02M | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naples | $645K | $672K | $413K | |
| Naples | $231K | $262K | $133K | |
| Everglades | $216K | $228K | $117K | |
| Immokalee (Tract 011305) | $186K | $200K | $116K | |
| Immokalee (Tract 011306) | $204K | $221K | $113K | |
| Immokalee (Tract 011204) | $221K | $232K | $102K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.