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Citrus, FL · ZIP 34442 · Census Tract 12017450105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$306K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $139K | $166K | $249K | $278K | $284K | $287K | $297K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$156,592 | -$144,992 | -$118,192 | -$35,792 | -$6,292 | +$3,025 | +$12,479 | +$21,222 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.1% | -51.0% | -41.6% | -12.6% | -2.2% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $238K | $241K | $234K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $363K | $392K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$238K to $324K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$234K to $392K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | +9.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Pine Ridge | $280K | $298K | +6.4% | |
| Crystal River | $297K | $316K | +6.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450902) | $274K | $288K | +4.8% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450705) | $292K | $300K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | +9.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | $158K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450106) | $193K | $198K | $110K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness (Tract 451104) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451702) | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451605) | $93K | $96K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Citrus, FL · ZIP 34442 · Census Tract 12017450105 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$306K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$392K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $128K | $139K | $166K | $249K | $278K | $284K | $287K | $297K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$156,592 | -$144,992 | -$118,192 | -$35,792 | -$6,292 | +$3,025 | +$12,479 | +$21,222 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.1% | -51.0% | -41.6% | -12.6% | -2.2% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $238K | $241K | $234K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $363K | $392K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$238K to $324K
30.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$234K to $392K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | +9.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Pine Ridge | $280K | $298K | +6.4% | |
| Crystal River | $297K | $316K | +6.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450902) | $274K | $288K | +4.8% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450705) | $292K | $300K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | +9.3% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando | $280K | $306K | $158K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450106) | $193K | $198K | $110K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness (Tract 451104) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451702) | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451605) | $93K | $96K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
